PICTURE:  (8/10)  I predicted tick, tick...BOOM! and The Tragedy of Macbeth; but those slots went to Drive My Car and Nightmare Alley

 

DIRECTOR:  (4/5) I predicted Denis Villeneuve (Dune) over Ryusuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)

 

ACTOR:  (4/5)  I predicted Leonardo DiCaprio (Don't Look Up) over Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos)

 

ACTRESS:  (4/5)  I predicted Lady Gaga (House of Gucci) over Penelope Cruz (Parallel Mothers)

 

SUPPORTING ACTOR:  (3/5)  I predicted Bradley Cooper (Licorice Pizza) and Jared Leto (House of Gucci) over Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog) and J.K. Simmons (Being the Ricardos)

 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:  (3/5)  I predicted Caitriona Balfe (Belfast) and Ruth Negga (Passing) over Judi Dench (Belfast) and Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter) - these were real shockers.

 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:  (4/5)  I always miss one in each screenplay category - I predicted Being the Ricardos over The Worst Person in the World, which literally no one predicted.

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:  (4/5)  I predicted West Side Story over Dune

 

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SO:  I got 34/45 in the top 8 categories - which was perfectly par.

Of the 30 "experts" at Gold Derby, 11 beat me, 7 tied, and 12 did worse.

Aight, I'll settle for that! :)