Oooook - as DYNAMIC & FABULOUS as Amy Madigan's work was in Weapons, I stuck with Teyana Taylor, because I generally go by the rule of thumb: "when in doubt, go with the stronger movie". It is VERY rare for a movie to win a supporting acting trophy with no other nominations for the film. And it's less rare for SAG to reward a genre performance that doesn't wind up taking home any Oscar gold (see: Emily Blunt in A Quiet Place??). 

I thought SAG created a mirage that left people thinking this was Madigan's to lose, and I thought Teyana's MESMERIZING work in One Battle would take home the gold.

But I think I overlooked the resistance the Academy has to reward musicians turned actors too quickly. And their tendency to sometimes round up with actors who've given us decades of wonderful work.

I was bummed to be wrong, and a bit surprised (having thought no way she'd win after seeing it), but the more I sit with this win... it's friggin' exciting!! And it just feels so lovely & right.

Though it's CRAZY to me that Nina Hoss wasn't even close to a nomination for Hedda. To me... THAT was the crowning supporting actress achievement of the year. Alas.