Oscar
Predictions
Most Likely to
Win
Least Likely
Promising Young Woman
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
The US vs. Billie Holiday
Nomadland
Pieces of a Woman
1 2 3 4 5
And the Oscar for Best Actress goes to...
Oscar Predictions
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Sweet mother of God. I LOVE Frances McDormand, and never would have imagined being UPSET about her winning an Oscar. But yup, here I am and that is exactly how I feeeeel.
Truly, Mulligan Davis and Day turned in three of my favorite Best Actress performances EVER - any one of them would have beat almost any other performance that I've given my lead actress Dickie Award to. I would have been over the moon for any of them, and instead it goes to Frances just three years after her last win, for a rather similar role. In a night when she's already slated to win (and actually, in the reordering of the awards, HAD ALREADY WON) Best Picture, as a producer on the film. UGHHHHH.
How'd this happen?! I think voters just loved this movie, and she IS the movie. Plan and simple. Sometimes voters don't think enough about spreading the wealth or representation. Davis and Day's movies weren't as loved, and Mulligan's movie is rather genre for a category like this. I guess that mattered more than it should. And I am NOT HAPPY ABOUT IT.