Oscar

Nominees

Most Likely

   to Win

Least Likely

1               2                3               4               5

I went 5 for 5, baby!  Most predictors thought Song Kang-ho would land in over Hopkins, which would've been really cool; but I didn't see the evidence that that would happen.  I stuck to my guns with the pope!

If you had told me a year ago that this year's supporting actor nominees would be Brad Pitt, Tom Hanks, Joe Pesci, Al Pacino and Anthony Hopkins, I would have laughed in your face - are you kidding me with this collection of veterans???  Hahaha.

(I want to note that aside from Pitt - the obvious youngun of the crew - none of these men have been nominated since 2000 or earlier.  (Not even Hanks, despite him headlining best picture nominees like Captain Phillips Bridge of Spies.)   It's nice to see them at the top of their games.

AS FOR THE WIN:

 

Pitt is the talk of the town for his Hollywood turn, which benefits from being in a huge best picture contender and it being a very large supporting role.  And the fact that he's never won will help a good deal.  He's a lock; and while I wouldn't vote for him in this, I'll be happy to watch him win.  He's a true talent and a charming human.

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