PICTURE:  Nomadland (but rooting for Belfast!)

DIRECTOR:  Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (but rooting for Branagh or PTA!)

ACTOR:  Will Smith, King Richard (and rooting for him!)

ACTRESS:  Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye (and rooting for her!)

SUPPORTING ACTOR:  Troy Kotsur, CODA (but rooting for Kodi!)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:  Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (but rooting for Aunjanue Ellis!)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:  Belfast (but SO CLOSE with Pizza, and I'd be psyched with either!)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:  CODA (rooting for literally none of these)

ANIMATED FEATURE:  Encanto (but rooting for Flee!)

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE:  Drive My Car (but rooting for The Hand of God!)

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:  Summer of Soul (but rooting for Flee!)

CINEMATOGRAPHY:  The Power of the Dog (but what a horse race with Dune!!)

FILM EDITING:  King Richard?!?!?!  (wide open)

SOUND:  Dune (duh)

VISUAL EFFECTS:  Dune (duh)

PRODUCTION DESIGN:  Dune (but rooting for Tragedy of Macbeth!!)

COSTUME DESIGN:  Cruella (haven't seen it, have no thoughts)

MAKEUP AND HAIR:  The Eyes of Tammy Faye

SCORE:  Dune (but SO CLOSE with Power of the Dog!)

SONG:  "Dos Oruguitas" from Encanto (but SO CLOSE with No Time to Die!)

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And I'm actually getting good at predicting the shorts, especially when I've seen them; which I have this year in the case of Animated and Live Action!

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ANIMATED SHORT:  Robin Robin (rooting for Windshield Wiper though)

LIVE ACTION SHORT:  The Long Goodbye

DOCUMENTARY SHORT:  Audible