PICTURE:  One Battle After Another (and rooting for it too!)

DIRECTOR:  Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle (woohoo!)

ACTOR:  Timothee Chalamet, Marty Supreme (but BOY is it close - Michael B. Jordan is the front-runner after all)

ACTRESS:  Jessie Buckley, Hamnet (what a lock

SUPPORTING ACTOR: Sean Penn, One Battle (cloooose one - Skarsgard & Lindo on his heels)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:  Teyana Taylor, One Battle (though Madigan is the front-runner - I'm a rebel!)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:  Sinners (yas!)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:  One Battle After Another (yas!)

ANIMATED FEATURE:  KPop Demon Hunters

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE:  Sentimental Value (but WOW, close one - could for sure be The Secret Agent)

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:  The Perfect Neighbor

CINEMATOGRAPHY:  One Battle After Another (but CLOSE with Sinners!!!)

FILM EDITING:  One Battle After Another (it better!!

SOUND:  F1

VISUAL EFFECTS:  Avatar: Fire and Ash

PRODUCTION DESIGN:  Frankenstein

COSTUME DESIGN:  Frankenstein

MAKEUP AND HAIR:  Frankenstein

SCORE:  Sinners

SONG:  "Golden" from KPop Demon Hunters (duh)
CASTING: Sinners (first year of this award - cool!)

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And I'll take a stab at the shorts!  (even though I've seen NONE of them this year... 😩)

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ANIMATED SHORT:  Butterfly

LIVE ACTION SHORT: Two People Exchanging Saliva

DOCUMENTARY SHORT:  All the Empty Rooms
(I just went with the Gold Derby odds, tbh... 🤷‍♂️)