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Oscar
Predictions

Most Likely
  to Win

Least Likely

Oscar Predictions

1               2               3               4               5

6               7               8              9               10                 

(2/13: I'VE UPDATED MY ODDS ORDER, BUT NEED TO UPDATE TEXT BELOW)

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I got 8/10, missing I'm Still Here and Nickel Boys, instead predicting Sing Sing and A Real Pain.

Wow, I'm Still Here landing a Best Picture nom was absolutely the biggest surprise of the day. It wasn't even on anyone's radar to be nominated! And I gotta say: I'm ecstatic about this, as I thought it was absolutely fantastic.

Nickel Boys wasn't as big a surprise, but still just outside the Gold Derby odds, and something I really, having seen it, did NOT think a wide voting body could possibly go far. It's a tough sit (artistically more than anything else), rather opaque as a piece of filmmaking. Worth checking out though - it's certainly unique and bold, and I applaud that.

While I'm most excited about I'm Still Here's Pic nod, what I'm most sad about is the omission of Sing Sing here. Womp womp 💔. That movie DEMANDS to be seen, and was, to me, a slam dunk Oscar-style win of a film; the fact that it didn't even score a nomination is utterly confounding to me.

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And A Real Pain's snub here was surely quite surprising after the season it's had; but meh - I'm fine with its omission, as I thought it was a B+ movie.


As for the win, while Emilia Perez scored 13 nominations (the most by 3), I'm relieved that The Brutalist is positioned out in front with the odds. GO BRUTALIST, BABYYYYY!

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