Oscar

Predictions

Most Likely to
Be Nominated

Least Likely

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Oscar Predictions

1               2                3               4               5

6               7               8               9            10                            

11.  Nightmare Alley

12.  Being the Ricardos

13.  House of Gucci

14.  Spider-Man: No Way Home

15.  Cyrano

16.  The Lost Daughter

17.  Spencer

These top 6 feel particularly solid, and I'd say BOOM & CODA are looking good at this point. The trick is those last two slots... Can Macbeth slide in despite its poor performance with precursor awards?  I think so, because it's simply immaculate, and director Joel Coen (& stars Denzel & McDormand) have such cred with the Academy.  Can Don't Look Up, despite a wildly divisive response?  It's tenuous... but its lovers do seem to be passionate, writer/director Adam McKay does tend to perform well with the Academy even with divisive films with mediocre reviews (a la Vice), and it did just land a SAG ensemble nod, which isn't nothing.

But we shall see!!  Some other similarly divisive films are nipping at its heels, and the heels of a few others.