Most Likely to

Be Nominated

Least Likely

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1               2                3               4               5

6. Judas and the Black Messiah

7. The Sound of Metal

8. Da 5 Bloods

9. Malcolm & Marie

10. Palm Springs

Pixar is always a wild card here - so hard to say if Soul will slide in or not; but I'm guessing yes.  And the top four here are looking very good!  So I think we have our five; but Metal, Judas & Bloods are surely solid contenders... 

Judas just landed a WGA nod, so it's nipping at the heels of these other five, and could TOTALLY eclipse Soul...  But the WGA tea leaves mean very little in this category, because Mank, Minari and Soul were all ineligible for that award!  I'll just have to do some more Soul-searching over the next few weeks... (WOKKA WOKKA!)

Oscar Predictions
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