Oscar

Nominees

Most Likely

   to Win

Least Likely

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I missed Jonathan Pryce, who I'm ABSOLUTELY DELIGHTED to see nominated here!!!  I instead predicted Taron Egerton (Rocketman), who I'm sad to see overlooked (kick out DiCaprio or Driver if you ask me!)

AS FOR THE WIN:

Man, if only Joaquin's role had as many layers as his role in The Master, then he'd actually deserve this prize that he's been overdue to win...  He was terrific though, so I'm not that mad about it.

 

But yes - he's securely poised to take this one (especially after the Globes win and how many godforsaken nominations Joker got).  Adam Driver is his thickest competition, but I think he's a touch too stiff in the role (& in general) to have an easy path to glory here.   Marriage Story is a more standard Academy fare, but Joaquin's is the louder performance, and again - there's surprising love for the film in Oscartown.

Three cheers for Pryce & Banderas for their FIRST NOMINATIONS EVER!

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