Most Likely to
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I missed the Judas nom here, calling Mank instead. That musta been a close one!
As for the win, Trial is considered the front-runner. But Sorkin already won for Social Network 10 years ago, and just missed a Best Director nod. Whereas Promising's writer/director Emerald Fennell was just nominated for both, so I have a hunch that it'll ride some passion votes to the podium. Apparently no sole-writer woman has won for writing since Diablo Cody 13 years ago - here's hoping that changes this year!